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Likely Greece debt default, Fitch Ratings downgrade hit ringgit, bourse
Published on: Tuesday, June 30, 2015
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Kuala Lumpur: The sluggish performances of the ringgit and local stock market were due to the knee-jerk reaction triggered by concerns over Greece's debt default and the likelihood of Fitch Ratings credit-rating downgrade of Malaysia.Affin Hwang Investment Bank vice-president and head of retail research, Datuk Dr Nazri Khan, said the breakdown of bailout talks between Greece and foreign lenders affected worldwide sentiments and impacted the regional stock markets.

"We anticipated the impact on the local stock market after talks broke down. It's an early anticipation from the market that Greece will default on the €1.6 billion of loans from the International Monetary Fund due tomorrow," he said on Monday.

He said, however, the impact on Malaysia was expected to be minimal as the country's direct exposure to Greece was less than five per cent of the total trade.

"The local stock exchange is expected to normalise within one or two weeks and encourage investors to buy stocks with good fundamentals at a cheap price," he said.

Nazri said the anticipation of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate increase also contributed to the weakening of ringgit.

"The local unit hit 3.78 per US dollar, the weakest in 10 years as a result of the combination of factors," he said.

Nevertheless, he was optimistic that Fitch Ratings would not downgrade the country's credit ratings despite its head of Asia-Pacific sovereign ratings, Andrew Colquhoun, saying in March that the country was more than 50 per cent likely to be downgraded.

"The downgrade, which would be the country's first since 1998, would only take place if the government does not reduce public financing. The government has shown its commitment by undertaking various measures to reduce the debt and transform the economy to be more diverse and resilient," he said. – Bernama





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